Table 3 Results: Mean probabilities per vector for the different pathways and months of emergence of Culicoides given exophilic and endophilic behaviour.
Results per vector | Mean probability Ia | Mean probability Ib | Mean probability IIIa | Mean probability IIIb | Mean probability (per month) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Exophilic | Endophilic | Exophilic | Endophilic | Exophilic | Endophilic | Exophilic | Endophilic | Exophilic | Endophilic | |
November | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
December | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
January | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | 0 | 1.2 × 10-8 | 0 | 1.2 × 10-8 |
February | NA | NA | 5.9 × 10-8 | 5.5 × 10-8 | NA | NA | 0 | 6.7 × 10-8 | 5.9 × 10-8 | 1.2 × 10-7 |
March | NA | NA | 9.2 × 10-8 | 8.7 × 10-8 | NA | NA | 0 | 2.1 × 10-7 | 9.2 × 10-8 | 3.0 × 10-7 |
April | NA | NA | 1.1 × 10-7 | 1.6 × 10-7 | NA | NA | 0 | 5.1 × 10-9 | 1.1 × 10-7 | 1.6 × 10-7 |
Weighted-results | Probability Ia | Probability Ib | Probability IIIa | Probability IIIb | Total months | |||||
Exophilic | Endophilic | Exophilic | Endophilic | Exophilic | Endophilic | Exophilic | Endophilic | Exophilic | Endophilic | |
November | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
December | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
January | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | 0 | 1.4 × 10-9 | 0 | 1.4 × 10-9 |
February | NA | NA | 1.6 × 10-10 | 6.2 × 10-11 | NA | NA | 0 | 1.3 × 10-9 | 1.6 × 10-10 | 1.3 × 10-9 |
March | NA | NA | 1.2 × 10-9 | 1.6 × 10-9 | NA | NA | 0 | 3.6 × 10-9 | 1.2 × 10-9 | 5.1 × 10-9 |
April | NA | NA | 9.4 × 10-9 | 2.3 × 10-8 | NA | NA | 0 | 1.8 × 10-9 | 9.4 × 10-9 | 2.5 × 10-8 |
Mean probability (per pathway) | 0 | 0 | 1.1 × 10 -8 | 2.4 × 10 -8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.0 × 10 -9 | 1.1 × 10 -8 | 3.2 × 10 -8 |