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Table 1 Parameters of the model of pestivirus spread in a Pyrenean chamois population

From: A novel epidemiological model to better understand and predict the observed seasonal spread of Pestivirus in Pyrenean chamois populations

θ

Description (dimension)

Value

Ref.

Demographic parameters

η max Sa

Fertility rate of sub-adult females, maximum (annual)

0.65

[21]

η A

Fertility rate of adult females (annual)

0.90

[21]

η max SaP

Fertility rate of sub-adult PI females, maximum (annual)

0.65

[21]

η AP

Fertility rate of adult PI females (annual)

0.90

[21]

μ min Juv

Probability of juvenile mortality, minimum (annual)

0.342

[21,31]

μ max Juv

Probability of juvenile mortality, maximum (annual)

0.85

a

μ female Sa

Probability of mortality of sub-adult females (annual)

0.1

c

μ male Sa

Probability of mortality of sub-adult males (annual)

0.171

c

μ female A

Probability of mortality of adult females (annual)

0.105

c

μ male A

Probability of mortality of adult males (annual)

0.143

c

μ P

Probability of mortality of PI animals (annual)

0.75

[34]

μ T

Probability of mortality related to a transient infection (over the duration of viremia)

0.196

c

δ

Sex ratio

0.5

b

K

Carrying capacity

3000

a

d

Strength of density dependence

0.8 × 10−3

a

Epidemiological parameters

1/α

Duration of immunity by maternal antibodies (days)

60

b

β T

Horizontal transmission coefficient by a transiently infected animal (per day)

0.03

[34]

β P

Horizontal transmission coefficient by a PI animal (per day)

0.5

[34]

1/γ

Duration of viremia (days)

51

[29]

1/ω

Duration of immunity (years)

8

[28]

ρ

Probability of abortion

0.5

[26]

ν

Possibility of infection during the gestation period (boolean)

0/1

 

τ

Indicator of rut (boolean)

0/1

 
  1. aCalibrated using field data.
  2. bExperts knowledge.
  3. cUnpublished data from the study site.