Table 1 Spatial models and their DIC.
Model name | Explicative variables | 2010–2011 | 2011–2012 | 2012–2013 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
M1 | b 0 | DIC = 635.6 | DIC = 210.5 | DIC = 113.1 |
M2 | b 0 + H i | DIC = 543.7 | DIC = 155.7 | DIC = 112.1 |
M3 | b 0 + U i | DIC = 278.7 | DIC = 39.0 | DIC = 110.2 |
M4 | b 0 + U i + H i | DIC = 289.0 | DIC = 155.2 | DIC = 111.4 |
M5 | b 0 + U i + b a 1 Risk i (N-1) | Not availablea | DIC = 150.7 | DIC = 105.2 b 1 = 0.36, [0.05; 0.61] |