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Figure 9 | Veterinary Research

Figure 9

From: Data-driven network modelling of disease transmission using complete population movement data: spread of VTEC O157 in Swedish cattle

Figure 9

Sensitivity analysis of γ and α on the proportion of positive holdings. The proportion holdings positive for VTEC O157 the first day in quarter four of the year in each of the eight NUTS level 2 regions in Sweden when varying the model parameters. The parameters \(\gamma_{c}^{0} , \gamma_{y}^{0} , \gamma_{a}^{0}\) and α 0 are the values from the parameter estimation (Table 1) that are scaled with a range of x and y values before running simulations of VTEC O157 spread in the complete Swedish cattle population during the period 2005-07-01 to 2013-12-31. For each combination of x and y, the average proportion positive holdings from a random set of 126 holdings in each NUTS 2 region was calculated from 100 trajectories.

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