Skip to main content

Table 1 Summary of the posterior distributions of the parameters

From: Transmission tree of the highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1) epidemic in Israel, 2015

Parameter

Interpretation

Median (95% credible interval)

α

Shape parameter of the spatial kernel

1.12 (0.11, 3.46)

π

Probability of mutation

1.06e−3 (0.55e−3, 1.82e−3)

Re-farm 1

Effective reproduction number of farm 1

2.00 (2.00, 2.00)

Re-farm 2

Effective reproduction number of farm 2

Negligible (<1e−02)

Re-farm 3

Effective reproduction number of farm 3

2.92 (1.27, 3.48)

Re-farm 4

Effective reproduction number of farm 4

Negligible (<1e−02)

Re-farm 5

Effective reproduction number of farm 5

Negligible (<1e−02)

Re-farm 6

Effective reproduction number of farm 6

2.08 (1.52, 3.73)

Re-farm 7

Effective reproduction number of farm 7

Negligible (<1e−02)