From: Transmission tree of the highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1) epidemic in Israel, 2015
Parameter | Interpretation | Median (95% credible interval) |
---|---|---|
α | Shape parameter of the spatial kernel | 1.12 (0.11, 3.46) |
π | Probability of mutation | 1.06e−3 (0.55e−3, 1.82e−3) |
Re-farm 1 | Effective reproduction number of farm 1 | 2.00 (2.00, 2.00) |
Re-farm 2 | Effective reproduction number of farm 2 | Negligible (<1e−02) |
Re-farm 3 | Effective reproduction number of farm 3 | 2.92 (1.27, 3.48) |
Re-farm 4 | Effective reproduction number of farm 4 | Negligible (<1e−02) |
Re-farm 5 | Effective reproduction number of farm 5 | Negligible (<1e−02) |
Re-farm 6 | Effective reproduction number of farm 6 | 2.08 (1.52, 3.73) |
Re-farm 7 | Effective reproduction number of farm 7 | Negligible (<1e−02) |