Figure 5

Median predicted incidence and prevalence of bTB in cattle farms and badger groups. A predicted cumulative incidence per period. B predicted end-of-period prevalence. Median values computed from 10 000 transmission trees, error bars: inter-quartile range. Insets: time evolution of the global incidence and prevalence, grey area: inter-quartile range, dashed lines: bounds of the three time periods.