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Table 4 Probabilities of Culicoides infection and probabilities of Culicoides surviving the EIP and TNBM for exophilic and endophilic Culicoides per month of emergence

From: Quantitative assessment of the probability of bluetongue virus overwintering by horizontal transmission: application to Germany

 

Mean probability Culicoides infected

Mean probability Culicoides survives EIP+ TNBM

 

Exophilic Culicoides

Endophilic Culicoides

Exophilic Culicoides

Endophilic Culicoides

November

4.1 × 10-5

1.4 × 10-4

0

1.4 × 10-3

December

8.9 × 10-6

4.0 × 10-5

0

1.6 × 10-4

January

1.4 × 10-5

2.6 × 10-5

0

2.4 × 10-4

February

2.6 × 10-5

4.1 × 10-5

5.4 × 10-4

1.8 × 10-3

March

2.3 × 10-5

2.8 × 10-5

7.8 × 10-4

2.3 × 10-3

April

2.0 × 10-5

2.0 × 10-5

2.0 × 10-5

2.0 × 10-5